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Sunday 16 September 2018, 16:00 Allianz Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
80% 14% 6%
Home win
79.9%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
5.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 79.9% 1.25
Draw 14.3% 7.01
Sassuolo 5.8% 17.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.33
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.73
Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.1% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.0% 4.77
Under 4.5 79.0% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.9% 2.44
No 59.1% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 94.2% 1.06
Juventus / Sassuolo 85.7% 1.17
Draw / Sassuolo 20.1% 4.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
2.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
10.7
6.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
14.2
8.2
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
12.1
7.0
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
7.8
4.5
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
4.0
2.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.