Saturday 25 August 2018, 19:00
Allianz Stadium
Full time
64%
20%
16%
Home win
63.8%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
16.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
| Lazio | 16.0% | 6.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.4% | 6.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Juventus / Lazio | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
3.4
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
9.3
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.8
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
7.3
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Juventus
2-2
Lazio
Oct 2025
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
May 2025
Lazio
1-1
Juventus
Oct 2024
Juventus
1-0
Lazio
Mar 2024
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
Sep 2023
Juventus
3-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.