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Saturday 5 May 2018, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
3–1
HT 0–1
77% 16% 6%
Home win
77.4%
Draw
16.4%
Away win
6.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 77.4% 1.29
Draw 16.4% 6.10
Bologna 6.2% 16.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.42
Over 1.5 77.4% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.6% 4.42
Over 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Over 3.5 30.9% 3.24
Under 3.5 69.1% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.3% 6.54
Under 4.5 84.7% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.4% 2.74
No 63.6% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 93.8% 1.07
Juventus / Bologna 83.6% 1.20
Draw / Bologna 22.6% 4.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
2.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
13.5
7.5
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
15.9
8.1
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
12.2
6.2
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
7.0
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.