Wednesday 18 April 2018, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
48%
26%
26%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
25.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Bologna | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Bologna | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
6.5
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
12.4
|
6.6
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.5
|
5.3
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
5.2
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Sampdoria
1-2
Bologna
Oct 2022
Bologna
1-1
Sampdoria
Apr 2022
Bologna
2-0
Sampdoria
Nov 2021
Sampdoria
1-2
Bologna
Mar 2021
Bologna
3-1
Sampdoria
Nov 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.