Saturday 31 March 2018, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
30%
26%
44%
Home win
29.9%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
43.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.3% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Chievo / Sampdoria | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
8.7
|
7.3
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.5
|
9.1
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
7.3
|
5.7
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
3.1
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Chievo
0-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2018
Sampdoria
2-0
Chievo
Oct 2017
Sampdoria
4-1
Chievo
May 2017
Sampdoria
1-1
Chievo
Dec 2016
Chievo
2-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.