Sunday 29 October 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
52%
25%
23%
Home win
52.3%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
22.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Chievo | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.5% | 6.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Chievo | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
5.8
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
11.9
|
6.0
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.8
|
5.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
5.7
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2019
Chievo
0-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2018
Sampdoria
2-0
Chievo
Mar 2018
Chievo
2-1
Sampdoria
May 2017
Sampdoria
1-1
Chievo
Dec 2016
Chievo
2-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.