Saturday 21 October 2017, 19:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
54%
27%
19%
Home win
53.8%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
18.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Crotone | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.2% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
| No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Crotone | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
7.2
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.4
|
12.7
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.1
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.8
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Crotone
0-1
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
3-1
Crotone
Mar 2018
Crotone
4-1
Sampdoria
Apr 2017
Sampdoria
1-2
Crotone
Nov 2016
Crotone
1-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.