Sunday 15 October 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
28%
28%
44%
Home win
28.4%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
44.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.0% | 8.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Atalanta | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
10.3
|
8.1
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
13.1
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
7.0
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.6
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Feb 2022
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Oct 2020
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.