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Sunday 10 September 2017, 16:00 Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
58% 23% 19%
Home win
57.9%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
18.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta 57.9% 1.73
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Sassuolo 18.6% 5.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.80
Over 1.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.4% 4.67
Over 2.5 54.6% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.4% 2.20
Over 3.5 32.3% 3.10
Under 3.5 67.7% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.3% 6.15
Under 4.5 83.7% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.6% 1.86
No 46.4% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atalanta / Draw 81.4% 1.23
Atalanta / Sassuolo 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Sassuolo 42.1% 2.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
5.0
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.1
11.2
5.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
9.9
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
6.4
6.2
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.9
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atalanta goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.