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Sunday 28 May 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
5–3
HT 3–2
49% 22% 29%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
29.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 48.7% 2.05
Draw 22.2% 4.49
Sassuolo 29.1% 3.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.2% 31.66
Over 1.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.7% 8.52
Over 2.5 70.3% 1.42
Under 2.5 29.7% 3.37
Over 3.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 3.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 4.5 30.0% 3.34
Under 4.5 70.0% 1.43

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 69.6% 1.44
No 30.4% 3.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 70.9% 1.41
Torino / Sassuolo 77.8% 1.29
Draw / Sassuolo 51.3% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
3.6
3.3
1.7
0.7
0.2
1
4.9
9.1
6.7
3.5
1.4
0.4
2
5.6
8.8
6.9
3.6
1.4
0.4
3
3.9
6.1
4.8
2.5
1.0
0.3
4
2.0
3.1
2.5
1.3
0.5
0.2
5
0.8
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.