Skip to content
Saturday 6 May 2017, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
73% 17% 10%
Home win
72.8%
Draw
17.0%
Away win
10.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 72.8% 1.37
Draw 17.0% 5.89
Torino 10.2% 9.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 24.77
Over 1.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.1% 6.63
Over 2.5 64.6% 1.55
Under 2.5 35.4% 2.83
Over 3.5 42.6% 2.35
Under 3.5 57.4% 1.74
Over 4.5 24.2% 4.12
Under 4.5 75.8% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.6% 1.90
No 47.4% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 89.8% 1.11
Juventus / Torino 83.0% 1.20
Draw / Torino 27.2% 3.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
2.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
8.5
8.0
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
9.3
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.2
7.7
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
5.7
4.8
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.8
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.