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Saturday 29 April 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
49% 24% 27%
Home win
49.2%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
26.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 49.2% 2.03
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Sampdoria 26.7% 3.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.12
Over 1.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.4% 5.76
Over 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.3% 2.54
Over 3.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 3.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.8% 4.81
Under 4.5 79.2% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.8% 1.62
No 38.2% 2.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 73.3% 1.36
Torino / Sampdoria 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Sampdoria 50.8% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
5.0
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
7.3
11.0
6.8
2.9
1.0
0.3
2
7.3
9.5
6.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
3
4.5
5.8
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
2.0
2.7
1.7
0.8
0.2
0.1
5
0.7
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.