Sunday 23 April 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
57%
27%
16%
Home win
57.0%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
15.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Crotone | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.7% | 8.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.4% | 13.59 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Crotone | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.7
|
6.8
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
12.1
|
3.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.8
|
8.7
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Crotone
0-1
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
3-1
Crotone
Mar 2018
Crotone
4-1
Sampdoria
Oct 2017
Sampdoria
5-0
Crotone
Nov 2016
Crotone
1-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.