Sunday 11 March 2018, 16:00
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
24%
27%
49%
Home win
24.2%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
49.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Crotone / Sampdoria | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
10.9
|
9.1
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.7
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
6.2
|
4.9
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.1
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Crotone
0-1
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
3-1
Crotone
Oct 2017
Sampdoria
5-0
Crotone
Apr 2017
Sampdoria
1-2
Crotone
Nov 2016
Crotone
1-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.