Sunday 28 January 2018, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
66%
20%
14%
Home win
65.8%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
14.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Sampdoria | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
3.5
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
9.4
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.8
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
7.3
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
4.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
AS Roma
3-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2022
Sampdoria
0-1
AS Roma
Apr 2022
Sampdoria
0-1
AS Roma
Dec 2021
AS Roma
1-1
Sampdoria
May 2021
Sampdoria
2-0
AS Roma
Jan 2021
AS Roma
1-0
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.