Saturday 6 January 2018, 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
58%
24%
18%
Home win
57.7%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
18.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 18.2% | 5.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Atalanta | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
5.3
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
11.5
|
5.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
9.8
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Jan 2026
Atalanta
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 2024
AS Roma
0-2
Atalanta
May 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AS Roma
1-1
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.