Sunday 17 December 2017, 21:45
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
40%
25%
35%
Home win
40.0%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
34.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Lazio | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Lazio | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
6.1
|
5.0
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
11.5
|
8.1
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
8.7
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
4.7
|
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Lazio
0-2
Atalanta
Oct 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Lazio
Apr 2025
Atalanta
0-1
Lazio
Dec 2024
Lazio
1-1
Atalanta
Feb 2024
Atalanta
3-1
Lazio
Oct 2023
Lazio
3-2
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.