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Saturday 2 December 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
35% 26% 39%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
39.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 35.3% 2.84
Draw 25.6% 3.91
Atalanta 39.1% 2.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.74
Over 1.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.2% 5.21
Over 2.5 57.7% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.3% 2.37
Over 3.5 35.3% 2.83
Under 3.5 64.7% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.5% 5.40
Under 4.5 81.5% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.0% 1.64
No 39.0% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 60.9% 1.64
Torino / Atalanta 74.4% 1.34
Draw / Atalanta 64.7% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
7.0
5.9
3.1
1.2
0.4
1
6.6
11.9
8.6
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
5.3
8.1
6.3
3.2
1.3
0.4
3
2.6
4.0
3.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
0.9
1.4
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Atalanta goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.