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Sunday 29 October 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
60% 20% 20%
Home win
59.9%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
20.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 59.9% 1.67
Draw 19.8% 5.06
Cagliari 20.4% 4.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.7% 36.97
Over 1.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.4% 9.66
Over 2.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 2.5 27.0% 3.70
Over 3.5 52.5% 1.91
Under 3.5 47.5% 2.10
Over 4.5 33.1% 3.02
Under 4.5 66.9% 1.49

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 68.6% 1.46
No 31.4% 3.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 79.6% 1.26
Torino / Cagliari 80.2% 1.25
Draw / Cagliari 40.1% 2.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
2.7
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
5.0
8.0
5.2
2.4
0.8
0.2
2
6.6
9.1
6.2
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
5.3
7.3
5.0
2.3
0.8
0.2
4
3.2
4.4
3.0
1.4
0.5
0.1
5
1.5
2.1
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.