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Wednesday 25 October 2017, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
51% 22% 27%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
27.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 51.3% 1.95
Draw 21.5% 4.65
Torino 27.2% 3.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 35.17
Over 1.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.7% 9.33
Over 2.5 72.2% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 3.5 51.6% 1.94
Under 3.5 48.4% 2.06
Over 4.5 32.2% 3.11
Under 4.5 67.8% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.7% 1.42
No 29.3% 3.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 72.8% 1.37
Fiorentina / Torino 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Torino 48.7% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
3.2
2.9
1.5
0.6
0.2
1
4.7
8.5
6.3
3.3
1.3
0.4
2
5.6
8.8
6.9
3.6
1.4
0.4
3
4.1
6.4
5.0
2.6
1.0
0.3
4
2.2
3.5
2.7
1.4
0.6
0.2
5
1.0
1.5
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.