Skip to content
Sunday 15 October 2017, 13:30 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
53% 23% 24%
Home win
52.8%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
23.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 52.8% 1.90
Draw 23.4% 4.27
Udinese 23.8% 4.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.46
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.83
Over 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.0% 2.56
Over 3.5 38.7% 2.59
Under 3.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.1% 4.75
Under 4.5 78.9% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64
No 38.9% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 76.2% 1.31
Fiorentina / Udinese 76.6% 1.31
Draw / Udinese 47.2% 2.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
4.7
3.3
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
7.6
10.7
6.2
2.6
0.8
0.2
2
7.9
9.7
6.0
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
5.0
6.2
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
2.4
3.0
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.1
5
0.9
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.