Saturday 16 September 2017, 19:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
57%
24%
19%
Home win
57.0%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
19.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Bologna | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.7% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.6% | 6.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Bologna | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Bologna | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
11.2
|
5.3
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
9.9
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.1
|
6.2
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bologna
1-2
Fiorentina
Oct 2025
Fiorentina
2-2
Bologna
May 2025
Fiorentina
3-2
Bologna
Dec 2024
Bologna
1-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2024
Bologna
2-0
Fiorentina
Nov 2023
Fiorentina
2-1
Bologna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.