Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Sunday 28 May 2017, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
Fiorentina
2–2
HT 0–1
Pescara
73% 16% 11%
Home win
72.9%
Draw
16.4%
Away win
10.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 72.9% 1.37 — —
Draw 16.4% 6.10 — —
Pescara 10.7% 9.34 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.7% 1.03 — —
Under 0.5 3.3% 30.28 — —
Over 1.5 87.3% 1.15 — —
Under 1.5 12.7% 7.89 — —
Over 2.5 68.8% 1.45 — —
Under 2.5 31.2% 3.20 — —
Over 3.5 47.3% 2.11 — —
Under 3.5 52.7% 1.90 — —
Over 4.5 28.3% 3.53 — —
Under 4.5 71.7% 1.40 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.7% 1.77 — —
No 43.3% 2.31 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 89.3% 1.12 — —
Fiorentina / Pescara 83.6% 1.20 — —
Draw / Pescara 27.1% 3.69 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.3
2.3
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
7.1
7.4
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
9.8
9.2
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
8.6
8.0
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
5.6
5.2
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
2.9
2.7
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Pescara goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Fiorentina
W L D W L
Pescara
L L L L W

Head to head

Feb 2017 Pescara 1-2 Fiorentina

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.