Sunday 7 May 2017, 16:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
38%
25%
37%
Home win
37.5%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
37.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.0% | 5.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Fiorentina | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
6.4
|
5.4
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
11.5
|
8.4
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.5
|
8.4
|
6.5
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
4.3
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Fiorentina
0-0
Sassuolo
Dec 2025
Sassuolo
3-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2024
Fiorentina
5-1
Sassuolo
Jan 2024
Sassuolo
1-0
Fiorentina
Jun 2023
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Jan 2023
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.