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Saturday 22 April 2017, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
5–4
HT 1–2
37% 25% 37%
Home win
37.4%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
37.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 37.4% 2.67
Draw 25.4% 3.93
Inter 37.2% 2.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.39
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.36
Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 4.5 80.8% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.7% 1.62
No 38.3% 2.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 62.8% 1.59
Fiorentina / Inter 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Inter 62.6% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
6.6
5.5
2.8
1.1
0.3
1
6.6
11.7
8.4
4.2
1.6
0.5
2
5.5
8.4
6.4
3.2
1.2
0.4
3
2.8
4.3
3.2
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.1
1.6
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.