Sunday 9 April 2017, 13:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
38%
29%
33%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
33.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Fiorentina | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
9.6
|
6.0
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
13.8
|
7.6
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
8.2
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.4
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Fiorentina
5-0
Sampdoria
Nov 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Fiorentina
May 2022
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Nov 2021
Fiorentina
3-1
Sampdoria
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Fiorentina
Oct 2020
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.