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Sunday 19 March 2017, 16:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
19% 28% 53%
Home win
19.1%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
53.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sampdoria 19.1% 5.22
Draw 27.6% 3.62
Juventus 53.2% 1.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.26
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.01
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.03
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sampdoria / Draw 46.8% 2.14
Sampdoria / Juventus 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Juventus 80.9% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
14.4
11.3
5.7
2.1
0.6
1
7.3
12.7
9.0
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
3.2
4.8
3.6
1.8
0.7
0.2
3
0.8
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sampdoria goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.