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Saturday 25 February 2017, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
79% 16% 5%
Home win
79.1%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
4.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 79.1% 1.26
Draw 16.3% 6.13
Empoli 4.6% 21.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.06
Over 1.5 72.4% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.6% 3.62
Over 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 3.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.80
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 27.5% 3.64
No 72.5% 1.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 95.4% 1.05
Juventus / Empoli 83.7% 1.19
Draw / Empoli 20.9% 4.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
16.8
6.7
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
18.7
6.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.5
4.9
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
7.3
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.2
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Empoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.