Skip to content
Sunday 29 January 2017, 16:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
4–1
HT 1–1
37% 35% 28%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
35.1%
Away win
27.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 37.0% 2.70
Draw 35.1% 2.85
Empoli 27.9% 3.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 81.5% 1.23
Under 0.5 18.5% 5.40
Over 1.5 52.4% 1.91
Under 1.5 47.6% 2.10
Over 2.5 25.0% 3.99
Under 2.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 3.5 9.8% 10.25
Under 3.5 90.2% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.2% 31.75
Under 4.5 96.9% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.0% 2.94
No 66.0% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 72.1% 1.39
Crotone / Empoli 64.9% 1.54
Draw / Empoli 63.0% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.5
13.1
5.4
1.4
0.3
0.0
1
16.0
13.9
5.1
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
8.0
6.2
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
2.5
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Empoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.