Sunday 18 December 2016, 16:00
Dacia Arena
Full time
65%
21%
14%
Home win
65.3%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
14.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
| Crotone | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Udinese / Crotone | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
9.8
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.9
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
7.0
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Crotone
1-2
Udinese
Dec 2020
Udinese
0-0
Crotone
Apr 2018
Udinese
1-2
Crotone
Dec 2017
Crotone
0-3
Udinese
May 2017
Crotone
1-0
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.