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Monday 5 December 2016, 22:00 Dacia Arena Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
50% 27% 23%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 50.1% 2.00
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Bologna 23.1% 4.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.74
Over 1.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.0% 3.71
Over 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.4% 3.94
Under 3.5 74.6% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.63
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.3% 1.99
No 49.7% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 76.9% 1.30
Udinese / Bologna 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Bologna 49.9% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
7.0
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
11.5
12.8
5.9
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.5
9.4
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.0
4.9
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.9
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.