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Sunday 20 November 2016, 16:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
49% 30% 20%
Home win
49.5%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
20.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 49.5% 2.02
Draw 30.1% 3.33
Palermo 20.5% 4.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.48
Over 1.5 62.0% 1.61
Under 1.5 38.0% 2.63
Over 2.5 34.2% 2.92
Under 2.5 65.8% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.6% 6.42
Under 3.5 84.4% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.89
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.4% 2.54
No 60.6% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 79.5% 1.26
Bologna / Palermo 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Palermo 50.5% 1.98

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
8.7
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.9
13.2
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.0
8.2
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
4.8
3.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.