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Monday 31 October 2016, 22:00 Sant'Elia Full time
Cagliari
2–1
HT 0–0
Palermo
63% 20% 17%
Home win
63.0%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
16.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 63.0% 1.59 — —
Draw 20.3% 4.94 — —
Palermo 16.8% 5.96 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 4.0% 25.01 — —
Over 1.5 85.4% 1.17 — —
Under 1.5 14.6% 6.83 — —
Over 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Under 2.5 34.8% 2.87 — —
Over 3.5 43.3% 2.31 — —
Under 3.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Over 4.5 24.8% 4.03 — —
Under 4.5 75.2% 1.33 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.3% 1.66 — —
No 39.7% 2.52 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 83.2% 1.20 — —
Cagliari / Palermo 79.7% 1.25 — —
Draw / Palermo 37.0% 2.70 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
3.3
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
7.3
9.2
4.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
2
8.9
9.8
5.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
3
6.7
7.3
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
3.8
4.1
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.1
5
1.7
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Cagliari
W W W L L
Palermo
L D L L L

Head to head

Apr 2017 Palermo 1-3 Cagliari

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.