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Thursday 27 October 2016, 21:45 Renzo Barbera Full time
1–3
HT 1–1
32% 29% 39%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
39.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 31.7% 3.15
Draw 29.2% 3.42
Udinese 39.0% 2.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 10.00
Over 1.5 69.6% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.4% 3.29
Over 2.5 42.6% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.8% 4.59
Under 3.5 78.2% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.66
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.04
No 50.9% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 61.0% 1.64
Palermo / Udinese 70.8% 1.41
Draw / Udinese 68.3% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
10.9
7.4
3.1
1.0
0.3
1
9.5
13.8
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
5.8
7.3
4.6
1.9
0.6
0.2
3
2.1
2.7
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.