Skip to content
Sunday 19 March 2017, 19:00 Dacia Arena Full time
4–1
HT 1–1
60% 25% 16%
Home win
59.6%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
15.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 59.6% 1.68
Draw 24.6% 4.06
Palermo 15.8% 6.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.43
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 2.5 46.0% 2.17
Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.5% 4.07
Under 3.5 75.5% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.1% 9.03
Under 4.5 88.9% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.2% 2.21
No 54.8% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 84.2% 1.19
Udinese / Palermo 75.4% 1.33
Draw / Palermo 40.4% 2.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
5.6
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
13.4
11.6
4.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.2
9.5
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
7.1
5.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.