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Sunday 5 March 2017, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
3–1
HT 0–1
71% 17% 12%
Home win
71.4%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
11.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 71.4% 1.40
Draw 16.8% 5.96
Palermo 11.8% 8.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.31
Over 1.5 88.1% 1.14
Under 1.5 11.9% 8.38
Over 2.5 70.1% 1.43
Under 2.5 29.9% 3.35
Over 3.5 48.9% 2.04
Under 3.5 51.1% 1.96
Over 4.5 29.8% 3.36
Under 4.5 70.2% 1.42

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.2% 1.69
No 40.8% 2.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 88.2% 1.13
Torino / Palermo 83.2% 1.20
Draw / Palermo 28.6% 3.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
2.3
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
6.6
7.5
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
9.2
9.2
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
8.0
8.0
4.0
1.4
0.3
0.1
4
5.2
5.3
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
2.7
2.7
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.