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Sunday 29 January 2017, 13:30 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
44% 24% 32%
Home win
43.6%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
32.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 43.6% 2.30
Draw 24.2% 4.14
Atalanta 32.2% 3.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.51
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.36
Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Over 3.5 41.1% 2.43
Under 3.5 58.9% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.0% 4.34
Under 4.5 77.0% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.9% 1.54
No 35.1% 2.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 67.8% 1.48
Torino / Atalanta 75.8% 1.32
Draw / Atalanta 56.4% 1.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
5.1
4.3
2.1
0.8
0.2
1
6.2
10.7
7.6
3.8
1.4
0.4
2
6.0
8.9
6.7
3.3
1.2
0.4
3
3.5
5.3
3.9
2.0
0.7
0.2
4
1.5
2.3
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Atalanta goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.