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Thursday 22 December 2016, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
58% 21% 20%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
20.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 58.4% 1.71
Draw 21.3% 4.69
Genoa 20.2% 4.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.56
Over 1.5 85.7% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.3% 7.00
Over 2.5 65.8% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.2% 2.92
Over 3.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 3.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 4.5 25.4% 3.94
Under 4.5 74.6% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.0% 1.59
No 37.0% 2.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 79.8% 1.25
Torino / Genoa 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Genoa 41.6% 2.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
3.6
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
6.8
9.5
5.4
2.2
0.7
0.2
2
7.9
9.7
5.9
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
5.7
7.0
4.3
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
3.1
3.8
2.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
1.3
1.6
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.