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Sunday 4 December 2016, 16:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
28% 24% 47%
Home win
28.4%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
47.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sampdoria 28.4% 3.52
Draw 24.4% 4.09
Torino 47.1% 2.12

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 19.86
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.71
Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.6% 2.52
Over 3.5 38.0% 2.63
Under 3.5 62.0% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.6% 4.86
Under 4.5 79.4% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.1% 1.61
No 37.9% 2.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sampdoria / Draw 52.9% 1.89
Sampdoria / Torino 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Torino 71.6% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
7.2
7.0
4.1
1.8
0.7
1
5.3
11.2
9.4
5.6
2.5
0.9
2
4.0
7.1
6.3
3.7
1.7
0.6
3
1.8
3.2
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.3
4
0.6
1.1
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sampdoria goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.