Sunday 20 November 2016, 13:30
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
53%
24%
23%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
22.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.43 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 5.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Sassuolo | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
5.4
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
11.5
|
6.0
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.8
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
5.9
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Sampdoria
2-2
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
Sampdoria
Feb 2022
Sampdoria
4-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2021
Sassuolo
0-0
Sampdoria
Apr 2021
Sassuolo
1-0
Sampdoria
Dec 2020
Sampdoria
2-3
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.