Saturday 22 October 2016, 19:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
32%
31%
36%
Home win
32.3%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
36.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Genoa | 36.4% | 2.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.7% | 7.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.7% | 5.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.5% | 15.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Genoa | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.7
|
12.3
|
7.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
14.3
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
6.9
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Sampdoria
1-0
Genoa
Dec 2021
Genoa
1-3
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Genoa
1-1
Sampdoria
Nov 2020
Sampdoria
1-1
Genoa
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
1-2
Genoa
Dec 2019
Genoa
0-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.