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Sunday 27 November 2016, 16:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
28% 27% 44%
Home win
28.4%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
44.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 28.4% 3.53
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Sampdoria 44.2% 2.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.19
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.83
Over 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.3% 3.80
Under 3.5 73.7% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.21
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 55.8% 1.79
Crotone / Sampdoria 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Sampdoria 71.6% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
10.2
8.0
3.9
1.4
0.4
1
7.7
13.1
9.1
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
4.7
7.0
5.1
2.5
0.9
0.3
3
1.8
2.6
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Sampdoria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.