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Sunday 11 December 2016, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–3
HT 1–1
39% 24% 37%
Home win
38.7%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
36.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 38.7% 2.58
Draw 24.4% 4.10
Juventus 36.9% 2.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.56
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.37
Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.7% 2.73
Over 3.5 41.2% 2.43
Under 3.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.1% 4.33
Under 4.5 76.9% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.3% 1.53
No 34.7% 2.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 63.1% 1.58
Torino / Juventus 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Juventus 61.3% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
5.5
5.0
2.7
1.1
0.3
1
5.7
10.8
8.2
4.4
1.8
0.6
2
5.2
8.4
6.8
3.6
1.5
0.5
3
2.9
4.6
3.7
2.0
0.8
0.3
4
1.2
1.9
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.