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Sunday 27 November 2016, 16:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
3–1
HT 3–0
21% 28% 51%
Home win
21.0%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
51.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa 21.0% 4.76
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Juventus 51.2% 1.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.71
Over 1.5 68.7% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.3% 3.20
Over 2.5 41.6% 2.40
Under 2.5 58.4% 1.71
Over 3.5 21.0% 4.75
Under 3.5 79.0% 1.27
Over 4.5 8.9% 11.19
Under 4.5 91.1% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa / Draw 48.8% 2.05
Genoa / Juventus 72.2% 1.38
Draw / Juventus 79.0% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
13.5
10.6
5.2
2.0
0.6
1
7.5
13.0
9.1
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
3.5
5.3
3.9
1.9
0.7
0.2
3
1.0
1.5
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Genoa goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.