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Sunday 6 November 2016, 16:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
47% 27% 26%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
26.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa 46.9% 2.13
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Udinese 26.3% 3.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.78
Over 1.5 74.8% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.2% 3.97
Over 2.5 49.3% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.7% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.4% 3.65
Under 3.5 72.6% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.75
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa / Draw 73.7% 1.36
Genoa / Udinese 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Udinese 53.1% 1.88

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
7.1
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
10.3
12.8
6.6
2.4
0.7
0.1
2
8.5
9.3
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
4.4
4.8
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.7
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Genoa goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.