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Sunday 22 January 2017, 16:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
30% 27% 43%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
42.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 30.3% 3.30
Draw 27.1% 3.69
Torino 42.7% 2.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.28
Over 1.5 75.6% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.4% 4.11
Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.3% 3.53
Under 3.5 71.7% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.5% 7.39
Under 4.5 86.5% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.9% 1.82
No 45.1% 2.22

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 57.3% 1.74
Bologna / Torino 72.9% 1.37
Draw / Torino 69.7% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
9.3
7.4
3.7
1.4
0.4
1
7.5
12.9
9.0
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
5.0
7.4
5.4
2.7
1.0
0.3
3
2.0
3.0
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.