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Sunday 8 January 2017, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
71% 20% 9%
Home win
70.9%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
9.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 70.9% 1.41
Draw 19.8% 5.06
Bologna 9.3% 10.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.57
Over 1.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.7% 4.05
Over 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.2% 3.55
Under 3.5 71.8% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.4% 7.44
Under 4.5 86.6% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.6% 2.46
No 59.4% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 90.7% 1.10
Juventus / Bologna 80.2% 1.25
Draw / Bologna 29.1% 3.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
3.7
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
13.6
9.2
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.6
9.0
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.1
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.2
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.