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Saturday 14 January 2017, 19:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
31% 32% 38%
Home win
30.5%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
37.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 30.5% 3.27
Draw 31.7% 3.15
Bologna 37.7% 2.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.45
Over 1.5 62.1% 1.61
Under 1.5 37.9% 2.64
Over 2.5 34.2% 2.92
Under 2.5 65.8% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.6% 6.42
Under 3.5 84.4% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.89
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 62.3% 1.61
Crotone / Bologna 68.3% 1.46
Draw / Bologna 69.5% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
13.1
7.7
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
11.4
14.3
7.4
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
5.9
6.5
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.9
2.1
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.