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Sunday 8 April 2018, 16:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
32% 30% 38%
Home win
31.9%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
38.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 31.9% 3.14
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Bologna 38.5% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.48
Over 1.5 68.3% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.7% 3.16
Over 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.6% 4.85
Under 3.5 79.4% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.50
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.9% 2.09
No 52.1% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 61.5% 1.63
Crotone / Bologna 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Bologna 68.1% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
11.2
7.4
3.0
0.9
0.2
1
9.9
14.0
8.1
3.3
1.0
0.3
2
5.9
7.2
4.4
1.8
0.6
0.1
3
2.1
2.6
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.