Skip to content
Saturday 4 November 2017, 19:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
2–3
HT 2–1
48% 31% 21%
Home win
48.1%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
20.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 48.1% 2.08
Draw 31.1% 3.22
Crotone 20.8% 4.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.84
Over 1.5 59.5% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.5% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.7% 3.15
Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.9% 7.21
Under 3.5 86.1% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.78
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.6% 2.66
No 62.4% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 79.2% 1.26
Bologna / Crotone 68.9% 1.45
Draw / Crotone 51.9% 1.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
9.3
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
16.6
13.3
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
10.9
7.9
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
4.5
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Crotone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.